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BTCBitcoin above $58,000 on August 14Yes edge▲ 0.10¢ETHEthereum above $2,000 on August 14No edge▲ 2.10¢OTHERClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026No edge79.5¢XRPXRP above $1.00 on August 14Yes edge▲ 18.00¢HYPEHyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 2.00¢SOLSolana dip to $70 in AugustNo edge▼ 2.00¢BTCBitcoin above $66,000 on August 14No edge▲ 1.60¢ETHEthereum above $1,600 on August 14Yes edge99.95¢BTCBitcoin above $58,000 on August 14Yes edge▲ 0.10¢ETHEthereum above $2,000 on August 14No edge▲ 2.10¢OTHERClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026No edge79.5¢XRPXRP above $1.00 on August 14Yes edge▲ 18.00¢HYPEHyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 2.00¢SOLSolana dip to $70 in AugustNo edge▼ 2.00¢BTCBitcoin above $66,000 on August 14No edge▲ 1.60¢ETHEthereum above $1,600 on August 14Yes edge99.95¢
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Crypto markets/Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?
OTH
OTHERactive01/01

Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Markets
14
Assets
OTHER
24H Vol
$476
Liquidity
$43k
Browse OTHER5 Min15 MinHourlyDailyWeeklyMonthly

Choose an outcome

14 active · 0 resolved

Trading
Level24H Vol / LiquidityYES priceBuy YesBuy No
↑ 3
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $3kResolution: 01/01
YES price43.5%
Buy Yes43.5¢
Buy No60¢
Order bookChartRules
No 60¢
Asks
PriceSharesTotal
60¢120$72
61¢500$377
78¢500$767
80¢1.1k$1.6k
88¢5.00$1.6k
90¢31$1.7k
99¢39$1.7k
Bids
PriceSharesTotal
52¢117$61
51¢20$71
50¢1.0k$571
34¢27$580
13¢15$582
12¢300$618
11¢4.5k$1.1k
6¢6.0k$1.5k
Last trade: 0¢
↑ 1
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?

24H Vol: $150Liquidity: $8kResolution: 01/01
YES price60%
Buy Yes60¢
Buy No40¢
↑ 2
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $7kResolution: 01/01
YES price40.5%
Buy Yes40.5¢
Buy No59.5¢
↑ 4
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $97Resolution: 01/01
YES price25%
Buy Yes25¢
Buy No75¢
↑ 5
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?

24H Vol: $30Liquidity: $124Resolution: 01/01
YES price24.5%
Buy Yes24.5¢
Buy No75.5¢
↑ 6
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $6B one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $1kResolution: 01/01
YES price33%
Buy Yes33¢
Buy No67¢
↑ 7
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $20Resolution: 01/01
YES price12%
Buy Yes12¢
Buy No88¢
↑ 8
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $8B one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $2kResolution: 01/01
YES price24.5%
Buy Yes24.5¢
Buy No75.5¢
↑ 9
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $9B one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $320Resolution: 01/01
YES price9.5%
Buy Yes9.5¢
Buy No90.5¢
↑ 10
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $4kResolution: 01/01
YES price4.45%
Buy Yes4.45¢
Buy No95.55¢
↑ 15
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $15B one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $328Resolution: 01/01
YES price7.5%
Buy Yes7.5¢
Buy No92.5¢
↑ 20
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?

24H Vol: $1Liquidity: $5kResolution: 01/01
YES price0.85%
Buy Yes0.85¢
Buy No99.15¢
↑ 500
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?

24H Vol: $143Liquidity: $9kResolution: 01/01
YES price76%
Buy Yes76¢
Buy No24¢
↑ 800
OTHER · Price

Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?

24H Vol: $151Liquidity: $3kResolution: 01/01
YES price69%
Buy Yes69¢
Buy No31¢
Choose outcome
Lean —
Amount
$
Balance: --
Estimate
Fill price: 60¢
Quote · 10s60¢
Shares
8.3
Max return
$8.33
Profit if right+$3.33
Loss limit$5.00
ROI+66.7%
Price protection≤ 61¢
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Hourly
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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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