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OTHERPredict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026No edge▲ 10.95¢BTCBitcoin above $66,000 on November 12Yes edge▲ 0.20¢ETHEthereum reach $2,500 November 9-15No edge▲ 1.25¢XRPXRP reach $3.00 in NovemberNo edge▲ 0.05¢SOLSolana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026No edge▲ 4.50¢HYPEHyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 1.00¢BNBBNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026No edge▲ 1.50¢OTHERVariational FDV above $800M one day after launchYes edge▲ 4.00¢OTHERPredict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026No edge▲ 10.95¢BTCBitcoin above $66,000 on November 12Yes edge▲ 0.20¢ETHEthereum reach $2,500 November 9-15No edge▲ 1.25¢XRPXRP reach $3.00 in NovemberNo edge▲ 0.05¢SOLSolana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026No edge▲ 4.50¢HYPEHyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 1.00¢BNBBNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026No edge▲ 1.50¢OTHERVariational FDV above $800M one day after launchYes edge▲ 4.00¢
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Crypto markets/Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
BTCactive01/01

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Markets
1
Assets
BTC
24H Vol
$0
Liquidity
$6k
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1 active · 0 resolved

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Level24H Vol / LiquidityYES priceBuy YesBuy No
BTC
BTC · Other

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $6kResolution: 01/01
YES price2.4%
Buy Yes2.4¢
Buy No98¢
Order bookChartRules
Yes 2.4¢
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Resolution date: Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 AM UTC
Outcome shown after resolution.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Adam Back was a member of that group will qualify. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Amount
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Balance: --
Estimate
Price: 2.4¢
Quote · 10s2.4¢
Shares
208.3
Max return
$208.33
Profit if right+$203.33
Loss limit$5.00
ROI+4066.7%
Price protection≤ 2.5¢
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